Highway Traffic Forecasting
Highway Traffic Forecasting
Whether framed for sustainability, greenhouse gas reduction, safety, or land use efficiency, Vehicle Miles Traveled (VMT) is aligned with the values of many cities, counties, and even states as a critical metric to support desired transportation outcomes. Induced VMT refers to the phenomenon where building or expanding highway capacity can lead to a rise in overall vehicle travel that dampens congestion relief benefits and contributes to higher levels of air pollutant and GHG emissions. Understanding induced VMT becomes imperative for policymakers to address this complex issue while striving for balanced solutions that promote mobility without an overreliance on automobiles.
For those interested in induced VMT and how transportation projects contribute to VMT impacts, we are excited to announce a new federal resource as well as California state guidance that includes technical input from our national VMT experts listed below.
share this article
Contributors
Ron Milam
Forecasting Practice Leader
AICP, PTP
Email Me
Jerry Walters
Principal
Chris Breiland
Director of Research & Development
PE
Email Me
Bruce Griesenbeck
Transportation Analyst
Email Me
Explore More
Demand Management Is Injury Prevention
New research shows that reducing driving exposure may be one of the most powerful safety strategies available. The findings connect VMT, mode share, and travel time to fatality rates, reframing demand management as injury prevention.
Announcing Safety Multipliers
What do San Francisco’s Van Ness BRT, New York’s congestion pricing, and Arlington’s intersection program have in common? Each pulls all three Safe System levers at once. We call that pattern a safety multiplier.
The City That Knows How to Say Yes
What does it take for a city to say “yes” without giving up control? This perspective argues for a conditional, public-minded yes, one grounded in clear standards, evidence, and measurable outcomes, with AVs as one example of a much broader governance challenge.









