MXD Trip Generation Model

A Tool for Estimating Trip Generation for Mixed-Use Developments

Conventional trip generation methods often overestimate vehicle traffic for mixed-use developments. Many commonly applied Institute of Transportation Engineers (ITE) trip generation rates come from single-use suburban locations that are designed for driving, with limited transit access and walkability. Methods used to adjust those rates are also based on a small number of observations that are more than 20 years old and do not reflect current travel characteristics.

Our MXD tool was built to address these limitations, providing more accurate trip estimates for mixed-use developments and mixed-use neighborhoods with strong connectivity, walkability, and transit service.

Aerial video showing cars and people moving through a long corridor with residential, urban and rural areas.
Pedestrians walking in front of a mixed-use building - showing both shopping on the lower levels and residential units on the top levels.

Why Use MXD

MXD performs more consistently than other methods and better reflects how people are traveling today in mixed-use settings.

Built on ITE Methods

MXD builds on conventional ITE trip generation by factoring in research on built environment “D” variables, like density, diversity of land use, and design/connectivity, to better reflect how context changes travel behavior. The latest version of MXD incorporates ITE 12th Edition trip generation rates as its foundation.

 

Customizable for Your Community

Based on 622 mixed-use sites across over 30 metro areas nationwide, MXD was developed to be used anywhere in the United States. For communities with unique development patterns or transportation systems, MXD can be calibrated using local land use, transit, and street network data to better reflect specific local conditions.

Validated Against Current Conditions

MXD was checked and calibrated against observed post-COVID (2025) trip counts at over 25 mixed-use sites across the country, giving agencies and practitioners more confidence in the results.

 

 

 

 

NATIONALLY VALIDATED

MXD has the lowest mean error.

Graphic compares trip generation estimates for MXD, the ITE Handbook, and ITE Manual 12th Edition across three time periods: Daily, AM, and PM. MXD has the lowest mean error (4% for Daily and AM Peak, 5% for PM Peak), compared to ITE methods (both 42% mean error for Daily, up to 48% for AM, and up to 51% for PM).

NATIONALLY VALIDATED

MXD has the lowest mean error.

Graphic compares trip generation estimates for MXD, the ITE Handbook, and ITE Manual 12th Edition across three time periods: Daily, AM, and PM. MXD has the lowest mean error (4% for Daily and AM Peak, 5% for PM Peak), compared to ITE methods (both 42% mean error for Daily, up to 48% for AM, and up to 51% for PM).

A GEORGIA CASE STUDY

MXD was the most consistent across all time periods.

Results from Avalon Town Center in Alpharetta, Georgia show that MXD estimates were closer to trips measured in the field than other available methods. In contrast, other methods sometimes substantially overestimated trips and, in other periods, underestimated them. The chart below compares each method’s estimates to the field counts, shown as percent differences from the observed trips.

Graphic titled ‘MXD External Vehicle Trip Generation’ comparing estimated trips to field data for three periods: All Day Total, AM Peak Hour, and PM Peak Hour. MXD closely matches field counts (0% all-day, +9% AM, +11% PM), while ITE-based methods tend to overestimate (up to +43%) and one method underestimates (down to -19%)
Graphic titled ‘MXD External Vehicle Trip Generation’ comparing estimated trips to field data for three periods: All Day Total, AM Peak Hour, and PM Peak Hour. MXD closely matches field counts (0% all-day, +9% AM, +11% PM), while ITE-based methods tend to overestimate (up to +43%) and one method underestimates (down to -19%)

Interested in applying MXD for your community or project? We can develop locally calibrated tools that support more accurate and context-sensitive transportation analysis.

Let’s Connect

Headshot of staff member John Gard

John Gard

Principal

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Headshot of staff member John Gard

Mackenzie Watten

Travel Behavior Practice Leader

Email Me