Travel Forecasting

Forecasting future travel demand is a crucial step in virtually every transportation project, providing the foundation for the detailed operational analysis and design that follows.  Fehr & Peers is a leader in the development and application of models used to predict demand for all travel modes.  We use the latest technology to efficiently develop and update models, and apply innovative techniques that allow travel demand models to capture the interactions between neighborhood-scale land use characteristics and travel patterns.  We bring to modeling a deep understanding of not only the latest academic research and statistical analysis techniques, but also the real-world needs of the practicing planner.

Our staff has developed and applied models in all of the major modeling software packages, including TransCAD, Voyager/TP+/CUBE, EMME, and VISUM.  We routinely integrate Geographic Information Systems capabilities into our models to improve the accuracy and efficiency of the tools and effectiveness of communication.

Specialized Services

  • Travel Model Development and Application
  • Travel Model Enhancements for build environment variables (i.e., the “Ds”)
  • Travel Model Enhancements for Climate Change Analysis
  • Dynamic Model Validation
  • Corridor and System-wide analysis
  • Transit Patronage Forecasts
  • Direct Ridership Forecasts
  • Dynamic Traffic Assignment models
  • Integrated Demand/Operations models
  • Congestion Pricing
  • High Occupancy Vehicle (HOV) and Toll (HOT) Lane studies
  • Integrated GIS Analysis
  • Specialized Applications for Climate Actions Plans, Impact Fee Nexus Studies, etc.

Recent Experience

  • I-405 Eastside Corridor Tolling Study, Seattle, WA
  • Alaskan Way Viaduct Replacement Study, Seattle, WC
  • Evaluation of Value Pricing in the Central Puget Sound Region
  • I-710 Gap Closure Study, Los Angeles, CA
  • Metro Westside Subway Extension (Subway to the Sea), Los Angeles, CA
  • LAX Specific Plan Amendment Study, Los Angeles, CA
  • Downtown Multi-Modal Access Plan, Denver, CO
  • Transportation Master Plans for Fort Collins and Castle Rock, CO
  • Legacy Parkway EIS, Salt Lake City, UT
  • Sugar House Streetcar Alternatives Analysis, Salt Lake City, UT
  • Dynamic Traffic Assignment Models for several local agencies in CA and WA
  • Travel Demand Model development for several agencies including San Jose, Santa Monica, Los Angeles, Pasadena, Santa Barbara, Seattle, and Denver

For more information, please contact Ron Milam.

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